#1673 Betting Against the Catastrophe

OptionResultData
points
/
Last
confirmed
1. insurers refuse to offer service to anyone within a mile of the coast
-2.22 to +2 Economy (mean -0.3110)
-29.83 to -0 Wealth Gaps (mean -0.7782)
-5.09 to +0.37 Death Rate (mean -0.1981)
-35.56 to +25.08 Eco-Friendliness (mean +1.9787)
-67 to +119.47 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean +7.1679)
-91.08 to +83.33 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +4.7269)
-69.43 to +241.18 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean +9.4462)
-82.36 to +314.88 Industry: Information Technology (mean +21.9169)
-116.81 to +222.58 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean +5.7067)
-79.09 to +75.96 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean +2.5177)
-108.66 to +258.16 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +27.5741)
-173.62 to +91.2 Sector: Agriculture (mean +5.6105)
-59.11 to +163.14 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +5.1635)
-111.95 to +126.02 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +11.2163)
-108.12 to +136.82 Industry: Mining (mean +15.7243)
-1195.76 to -0 Industry: Insurance (mean -608.5317)
-79.67 to +100.65 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean +8.4236)
-94.37 to +285.82 Industry: Retail (mean +16.4780)
-105.57 to +189.4 Industry: Book Publishing (mean +7.7008)
-146.6 to +183.6 Industry: Gambling (mean +4.6784)
-180.03 to +323.96 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +44.1886)
-113.81 to +28.22 Welfare (mean +0.7654)
-81.8 to +39.69 Public Healthcare (mean +5.3490)
-106.7 to +102.03 Law Enforcement (mean +9.3780)
-28.46 to +87.31 Business Subsidization (mean +13.3470)
+0 to +2.76 Income Equality (mean +0.3281)
-3.84 to +0.11 Rudeness (mean -0.4762)
+0 to +0.59 Compliance (mean +0.0456)
+0 to +1.52 Safety (mean +0.3076)
-0.46 to +0.57 Lifespan (mean +0.0743)
-0.56 to +0.56 Ideological Radicality (mean -0.0134)
-117.37 to +81.62 Defense Forces (mean +10.0293)
+0 to +0.42 Pacifism (mean +0.0509)
-1.67 to -0 Economic Freedom (mean -0.5774)
-0.03 to +1.07 Taxation (mean +0.2413)
-0.88 to +0.07 Freedom From Taxation (mean -0.5083)
+0 to +256.32 Authoritarianism (mean +11.6771)
-1.34 to +0.01 Employment (mean -0.1543)
-53.35 to +33.22 Public Transport (mean +2.2479)
-0.56 to +8.02 Tourism (mean +1.0227)
-0.07 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0028)
-0.15 to -0 Obesity (mean -0.0252)
-3.22 to +0.1 Charmlessness (mean -0.1337)
-0.56 to +0.56 Averageness (mean +0.0134)
-0.6 to +0.62 Human Development Index (mean -0.0516)
-1988.73 to +584.49 Average Income (mean -370.9611)
-1452.04 to +1494.19 Average Income of Poor (mean +145.5220)
-25816 to -0 Average Income of Rich (mean -3146.6429)
-88.92 to +63.09 Public Education (mean +6.9610)
-0.48 to -0 Crime (mean -0.0336)
-49.8 to +15.41 Foreign Aid (mean +0.2159)
-1564.2 to +541.92 Average Disposable Income (mean -436.6818)
-1.05 to -0 Food Quality (mean -0.1566)
+0 to +7.68 Accessibility (mean +4.7353)
sometimes removes notability: spontaneously combusting cars
sometimes adds notability: stringent health and safety legislation
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110
2026-06-25
2026-07-03
2. adjacent suburbs build competing earthworks to force the other neighbourhood to flood first
-0.06 to +6.67 Economy (mean +1.3239)
+0 to +2.85 Political Freedom (mean +0.0058)
+0 to +113.24 Wealth Gaps (mean +0.8065)
-3.49 to +0.54 Death Rate (mean -0.2094)
+0 to +0.01 Compassion (mean +0.0000)
-64.28 to +62.8 Eco-Friendliness (mean +2.1962)
-106.02 to +450.36 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean +17.2864)
-172.45 to +286.36 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean -6.9304)
-66.66 to +364.89 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean +19.2022)
-125.79 to +440.26 Industry: Information Technology (mean +19.1550)
-150.58 to +260.8 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean -6.2615)
-539.83 to +281.33 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean -59.3231)
-204.92 to +422.79 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +17.8323)
-347.68 to +128.68 Sector: Agriculture (mean -24.4207)
-73.62 to +240.18 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +8.7920)
-118.99 to +367.06 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +16.2171)
-137.49 to +281.14 Industry: Mining (mean +14.0636)
+0 to +1521.29 Industry: Insurance (mean +596.6602)
-57.67 to +286.67 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean +13.6008)
-122.13 to +470.67 Industry: Retail (mean +12.6099)
-72.29 to +489.59 Industry: Book Publishing (mean +22.5534)
-68.31 to +527.98 Industry: Gambling (mean +18.4123)
-240.19 to +740.65 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +54.3205)
-0.01 to +0.33 Government Size (mean +0.0650)
-32.15 to +180.9 Welfare (mean +11.1606)
-103.03 to +180.6 Public Healthcare (mean +8.9588)
-181.28 to +216.43 Law Enforcement (mean +8.9366)
-2.58 to +297.98 Business Subsidization (mean +135.7968)
-2.3 to -0 Income Equality (mean -0.2309)
-0.28 to +10.59 Rudeness (mean +0.4237)
+0 to +0.37 Intelligence (mean +0.0008)
-1.64 to -0 Political Apathy (mean -0.0038)
-2 to -0 Weather (mean -1.9756)
-0.4 to +0.1 Compliance (mean -0.0324)
-1.36 to -0 Safety (mean -0.0856)
-0.18 to +0.81 Lifespan (mean +0.1128)
-1.14 to +0.55 Ideological Radicality (mean +0.0414)
-201.41 to +237.16 Defense Forces (mean +10.0600)
-0.59 to -0 Pacifism (mean -0.0372)
+0 to +1.67 Economic Freedom (mean +0.4396)
-0.32 to +1.53 Taxation (mean +0.1089)
-1.42 to +0.88 Freedom From Taxation (mean -0.3327)
-1.56 to -0 Corruption (mean -0.0032)
+0 to +0.64 Integrity (mean +0.0013)
-263.97 to -0 Authoritarianism (mean -8.8197)
-0.2 to +3.57 Employment (mean +0.1326)
-25.51 to +156.22 Public Transport (mean +5.0295)
-49.34 to -0 Tourism (mean -8.2829)
-0.03 to +0.06 Weaponization (mean +0.0022)
-0.43 to -0 Recreational Drug Use (mean -0.1238)
-0.02 to +0.49 Obesity (mean +0.0512)
-37.63 to -0 Environmental Beauty (mean -12.8957)
+0 to +21.36 Charmlessness (mean +1.0085)
-0.55 to +1.14 Averageness (mean -0.0414)
-0.28 to +1.38 Human Development Index (mean +0.4955)
-701.11 to +4427.5 Average Income (mean +806.2162)
-2057.52 to +3059.3 Average Income of Poor (mean +67.7429)
-2430 to +34350 Average Income of Rich (mean +4342.3171)
-64.28 to +189.7 Public Education (mean +11.9623)
-0.05 to +0.45 Crime (mean +0.0219)
-28.57 to +89.27 Foreign Aid (mean +1.6713)
-1072.04 to +3406.6 Average Disposable Income (mean +511.0217)
+0 to +0.4 Patriotism (mean +0.0008)
-1.05 to +0.67 Food Quality (mean -0.0944)
-3.76 to +1.04 Accessibility (mean +0.1576)
sometimes adds notability: barren, inhospitable landscape
sometimes adds notability: punitive income tax rates
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198
2026-06-05
2025-10-30
3. the value of the @@CURRENCY@@ is directly tied to the strength of the previous hurricane season
+0 to +0.28 Civil Rights (mean +0.0010)
-3.78 to +1.66 Economy (mean -0.8403)
-70.81 to -0 Wealth Gaps (mean -0.8248)
-2.52 to +0.49 Death Rate (mean -0.0305)
-49.74 to +51.78 Eco-Friendliness (mean +2.0304)
-0.43 to -0 Social Conservatism (mean -0.0015)
-131.88 to +108.68 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean +1.1274)
-144.9 to +98.89 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +1.7442)
-169.18 to +173.53 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean +0.9906)
-155.72 to +677.65 Industry: Information Technology (mean +31.7313)
-227.05 to +147.32 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean +0.3172)
-286.46 to +197.87 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean -5.5724)
-185.3 to +408.62 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +29.9672)
-141.87 to +154.81 Sector: Agriculture (mean +5.1885)
-119.29 to +154.82 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +3.4525)
-162.88 to +203.18 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +6.0643)
-166.14 to +439.44 Industry: Mining (mean +11.9121)
-2664.78 to -0 Industry: Insurance (mean -1065.2655)
-149.96 to +103.31 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean +3.3643)
-421.6 to +294.21 Industry: Retail (mean +15.7751)
-175.29 to +181.82 Industry: Book Publishing (mean +4.8514)
-152.12 to +366.98 Industry: Gambling (mean -3.0588)
-434.89 to +432.25 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +32.0842)
+0 to +0.38 Government Size (mean +0.1031)
-122.45 to +34 Welfare (mean -2.9972)
-95.67 to +89.33 Public Healthcare (mean +3.2184)
-93.24 to +120.59 Law Enforcement (mean +7.3740)
-28.26 to +151.03 Business Subsidization (mean +11.7460)
+0 to +3.14 Income Equality (mean +0.8097)
-8.3 to +0.02 Rudeness (mean -0.9475)
+0 to +0.18 Intelligence (mean +0.0009)
-0.37 to -0 Ignorance (mean -0.0014)
+0 to +0.37 Health (mean +0.0013)
+0 to +1 Weather (mean +0.0034)
+0 to +0.4 Compliance (mean +0.0841)
+0 to +2.04 Safety (mean +0.2360)
-0.51 to +0.58 Lifespan (mean -0.0220)
-0.94 to +0.94 Ideological Radicality (mean +0.0052)
-87.77 to +119.73 Defense Forces (mean +8.9108)
-0.21 to +0.81 Pacifism (mean +0.1159)
-2.83 to -0 Economic Freedom (mean -1.2607)
+0 to +2.75 Taxation (mean +0.8752)
-3.02 to -0 Freedom From Taxation (mean -1.9502)
+0 to +168.06 Authoritarianism (mean +27.1313)
-3.87 to -0 Employment (mean -0.4704)
-53.57 to +36.98 Public Transport (mean +0.7623)
-2.29 to +15.16 Tourism (mean +2.0140)
-0.11 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0043)
-0.04 to +0.19 Recreational Drug Use (mean +0.0005)
-0.56 to -0 Obesity (mean -0.0535)
-9.73 to +0.17 Charmlessness (mean -0.1471)
-0.94 to +0.94 Averageness (mean -0.0052)
-0.72 to +0.64 Human Development Index (mean -0.2046)
-0.29 to -0 Primitiveness (mean -0.0010)
+0 to +0.93 Scientific Advancement (mean +0.0032)
+0 to +4.07 Inclusiveness (mean +0.0139)
-2381.71 to +1847.55 Average Income (mean -677.7990)
-1681.38 to +3070.84 Average Income of Poor (mean +321.4241)
-29914 to -0 Average Income of Rich (mean -4935.2799)
-107.15 to +94.95 Public Education (mean +5.8351)
-1.1 to -0 Crime (mean -0.0603)
-42.09 to +15.59 Foreign Aid (mean -0.4641)
-2560.35 to +914.45 Average Disposable Income (mean -1145.2812)
-1.56 to -0 Food Quality (mean -0.3704)
+0 to +6.56 Accessibility (mean +0.4756)
sometimes adds notability: punitive income tax rates
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128
2026-06-16
4. vigilant @@DEMONYMNOUNPLURAL@@ can see disasters coming from a mile away
-0.67 to -0 Civil Rights (mean -0.0046)
-4.45 to +1.43 Economy (mean -0.4997)
-116.87 to -0 Wealth Gaps (mean -3.2480)
-7.88 to +0.02 Death Rate (mean -0.7863)
-27.13 to +35.29 Eco-Friendliness (mean +0.2819)
+0 to +1 Social Conservatism (mean +0.0069)
-10.25 to -0 Nudity (mean -0.0707)
-130.07 to +164.93 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean -5.4248)
-97.67 to +77.9 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean -3.0150)
-115.36 to +65.47 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean -5.5227)
-105.37 to +270.73 Industry: Information Technology (mean +2.3499)
-76.22 to +81.79 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean -0.9916)
-177.09 to +32 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean -17.7211)
-193.96 to +380.49 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +5.8511)
-226.48 to +105.48 Sector: Agriculture (mean -9.7709)
-97.67 to +69.61 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean -1.8674)
+0.58 to +1030.5 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +485.0620)
-149.66 to +251.48 Industry: Mining (mean -1.2230)
-676.16 to +32.41 Industry: Insurance (mean -321.4860)
-100.45 to +106.66 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean -2.7077)
-355.1 to +173.61 Industry: Retail (mean -0.1535)
-177.45 to +196.82 Industry: Book Publishing (mean -7.2857)
-369.11 to +60.84 Industry: Gambling (mean -17.6172)
-311.37 to +479.69 Sector: Manufacturing (mean -5.0971)
+0 to +0.04 Government Size (mean +0.0003)
-66.55 to +36.34 Welfare (mean -4.3154)
-66.55 to +50.31 Public Healthcare (mean -2.5040)
-89.53 to +94.12 Law Enforcement (mean -0.0059)
-35.27 to +98.59 Business Subsidization (mean +2.9841)
-0.16 to -0 Religiousness (mean -0.0011)
+0 to +3.82 Income Equality (mean +0.5411)
-13.73 to -0.05 Rudeness (mean -1.2914)
-0.18 to -0 Intelligence (mean -0.0012)
+0 to +0.45 Ignorance (mean +0.0031)
+0 to +0.46 Compliance (mean +0.0748)
+0 to +4.19 Safety (mean +0.5201)
-0.04 to +5.16 Lifespan (mean +0.2434)
-1.11 to +1.12 Ideological Radicality (mean -0.1173)
-75.78 to +131.21 Defense Forces (mean +0.4816)
+0 to +1.71 Pacifism (mean +0.0887)
-3.33 to -0.11 Economic Freedom (mean -1.1779)
-0.33 to +0.73 Taxation (mean +0.0307)
-1.24 to +0.22 Freedom From Taxation (mean -0.1338)
+1.34 to +291.8 Authoritarianism (mean +30.7885)
-1.16 to +0.03 Employment (mean -0.1748)
-48.83 to +22.72 Public Transport (mean -1.8515)
-5.64 to +18.34 Tourism (mean +0.9569)
-0.11 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0072)
-1.15 to -0 Recreational Drug Use (mean -0.0079)
-0.25 to -0 Obesity (mean -0.0514)
+0 to +1.03 Secularism (mean +0.0071)
-4.73 to -0 Environmental Beauty (mean -1.4926)
-3.84 to +1.02 Charmlessness (mean -0.1928)
-1.12 to +1.11 Averageness (mean +0.1173)
-0.67 to +1.94 Human Development Index (mean -0.0267)
-2044.45 to +1783.59 Average Income (mean +54.9314)
-443.52 to +4481.5 Average Income of Poor (mean +724.7078)
-73104 to +5731 Average Income of Rich (mean -7639.9172)
-58.24 to +87.64 Public Education (mean -2.7530)
-0.9 to -0 Crime (mean -0.0668)
-27.13 to +6.09 Foreign Aid (mean -0.6314)
-1734.38 to +1783.59 Average Disposable Income (mean -25.1898)
+0 to +0.06 Patriotism (mean +0.0004)
-1.61 to -0 Food Quality (mean -0.2580)
+0 to +15.28 Accessibility (mean +7.1864)
sometimes removes notability: exploding hoverboards
sometimes removes notability: spontaneously combusting cars
sometimes adds notability: stringent health and safety legislation
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53
2026-05-07
2026-05-26
2026-06-22

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