| Option | Result | Data points / Last confirmed |
|---|---|---|
| 1/2. there is a growing belief that consciousness is a simulated illusion within a computer-generated reality |
-3.33 to -0 Civil Rights (mean -0.5155)
+0 to +16.96 Economy (mean +2.2274)
-4.5 to -0 Political Freedom (mean -0.0105)
+0 to +17.8 Wealth Gaps (mean +0.2140)
-12.35 to +2.89 Death Rate (mean -0.1868)
-1.71 to -0 Compassion (mean -0.0030)
-132.58 to +359.66 Eco-Friendliness (mean -1.9536)
+0 to +3.34 Social Conservatism (mean +0.5157)
-6.75 to -0 Nudity (mean -0.3951)
-146.69 to +546.59 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean +6.9078)
-155.82 to +699.54 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +5.8785)
-141.9 to +650.18 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean +11.0253)
+0 to +3840.23 Industry: Information Technology (mean +1567.7480)
-281.97 to +311.82 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean -10.9125)
-340.28 to +2025.86 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean +28.6834)
-432.65 to +1531 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean -34.8837)
-154.56 to +784.26 Sector: Agriculture (mean +3.3447)
-144.21 to +512.88 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +1.0172)
-129.5 to +688.96 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +2.2752)
-192.95 to +821.55 Industry: Mining (mean +4.1498)
-115.19 to +504.81 Industry: Insurance (mean +9.4456)
-110.01 to +427.1 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean -1.7802)
-331.59 to +597.94 Industry: Retail (mean +1.2918)
-172.71 to +1037.89 Industry: Book Publishing (mean +27.6474)
-424.4 to +599.29 Industry: Gambling (mean -2.8658)
-537.3 to +2350.29 Sector: Manufacturing (mean -16.9503)
+0 to +0.62 Government Size (mean +0.1581)
-141.72 to +676.38 Welfare (mean +6.4007)
-115.98 to +560.14 Public Healthcare (mean +1.0979)
-144.65 to +572.02 Law Enforcement (mean -5.4940)
-124.06 to +846.54 Business Subsidization (mean +236.0338)
-408.27 to -0 Religiousness (mean -114.6248)
-1.75 to -0 Income Equality (mean -0.1684)
-0.35 to -0 Niceness (mean -0.0006)
-1.61 to +6.05 Rudeness (mean +0.1983)
-0.4 to +6.72 Intelligence (mean +1.2219)
-7.52 to +0.07 Ignorance (mean -0.6483)
-1.63 to -0 Political Apathy (mean -0.0051)
-0.02 to -0 Health (mean -0.0000)
-2 to -0 Weather (mean -0.9965)
-3.01 to +0.69 Compliance (mean -0.3315)
-7.95 to +2.01 Safety (mean -0.3821)
-0.46 to +2.38 Lifespan (mean +0.1409)
-3.2 to +0.95 Ideological Radicality (mean -0.0428)
-407.52 to +803.21 Defense Forces (mean -3.9141)
-2.81 to +2.44 Pacifism (mean -0.0937)
+0 to +1.67 Economic Freedom (mean +0.3158)
-1.86 to +3.6 Taxation (mean +0.0116)
-2.43 to +0.79 Freedom From Taxation (mean -0.7428)
+0 to +0.52 Corruption (mean +0.0012)
-0.22 to -0 Integrity (mean -0.0005)
-99.8 to +241.23 Authoritarianism (mean +2.8533)
-0.11 to +1.88 Employment (mean +0.1510)
-68.57 to +348.77 Public Transport (mean +3.4842)
-63.65 to +3.58 Tourism (mean -9.4328)
-0.14 to +0.31 Weaponization (mean +0.0156)
-19.96 to -0 Recreational Drug Use (mean -0.6006)
-0.03 to +0.11 Obesity (mean +0.0061)
+0 to +6.88 Secularism (mean +2.2416)
-3.12 to -0 Environmental Beauty (mean -0.0055)
-0.02 to +30.19 Charmlessness (mean +1.2012)
-0.95 to +3.2 Averageness (mean +0.0428)
-0.05 to +3.78 Human Development Index (mean +1.0003)
-92.33 to -0 Primitiveness (mean -18.5239)
+0 to +84.82 Scientific Advancement (mean +16.4100)
+0 to +1.42 Inclusiveness (mean +0.0025)
+0 to +12025.53 Average Income (mean +2041.0395)
-1191.55 to +8131.35 Average Income of Poor (mean +890.3352)
+0 to +46173 Average Income of Rich (mean +5480.5927)
-203.58 to +677.73 Public Education (mean +155.5784)
-0.56 to +2.51 Crime (mean +0.1419)
-55.1 to +285.35 Foreign Aid (mean +0.7183)
-1109.73 to +8196.85 Average Disposable Income (mean +1102.6760)
+0 to +0.81 Patriotism (mean +0.0129)
-0.02 to +1.02 Food Quality (mean +0.1434)
sometimes removes notability: absence of drug laws
sometimes removes notability: complete lack of public education
sometimes adds notability: irreverence towards religion
may add or remove notability: punitive income tax rates
sometimes adds notability: restrictive gun laws
sometimes adds notability: spontaneously combusting cars
|
572
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2025-05-09
2024-08-16
2025-06-12
2024-09-08
2024-10-06
2024-08-19
|
| 3/4. citizens often ask "what has information technology ever done for us?" |
-2.22 to +0.56 Economy (mean -0.3033)
-18.66 to -0 Wealth Gaps (mean -0.2757)
-2.56 to +0.3 Death Rate (mean -0.1013)
-37.24 to +73.39 Eco-Friendliness (mean +7.7451)
-57.97 to +132.04 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean +9.8578)
-51.02 to +101.76 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +8.4621)
-35.67 to +143.01 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean +19.0402)
-2783.18 to -0 Industry: Information Technology (mean -1079.6903)
-184.94 to +49.92 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean -23.4896)
-193.47 to +140 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean +3.9372)
-116.32 to +255.08 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +31.6114)
-47.07 to +120.4 Sector: Agriculture (mean +11.8833)
-25.53 to +127.1 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +11.0125)
-53.58 to +119.48 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +20.4368)
-89.4 to +171.74 Industry: Mining (mean +27.9742)
-85.82 to +55.85 Industry: Insurance (mean +6.4055)
-17.09 to +119.81 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean +16.3368)
-70.44 to +225.69 Industry: Retail (mean +40.2155)
-268.51 to +103.81 Industry: Book Publishing (mean -37.3934)
-233.64 to +483.7 Industry: Gambling (mean +54.0395)
-116.32 to +389.16 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +60.5082)
+0 to +0.02 Government Size (mean +0.0002)
-59.94 to +114.07 Welfare (mean +8.4134)
-33.72 to +80.41 Public Healthcare (mean +16.1335)
-54.97 to +132.22 Law Enforcement (mean +22.5935)
-30.14 to +135.58 Business Subsidization (mean +23.2201)
+0 to +403.72 Religiousness (mean +173.1041)
+0 to +1.56 Income Equality (mean +0.3229)
-3.02 to +0.25 Rudeness (mean -0.4138)
-5.44 to -0 Intelligence (mean -1.1453)
+0 to +6.54 Ignorance (mean +1.5268)
+0 to +1.62 Political Apathy (mean +0.0697)
+0 to +2 Weather (mean +1.9487)
+0 to +1.26 Compliance (mean +0.2650)
+0 to +3.28 Safety (mean +0.3800)
-0.29 to +0.34 Lifespan (mean +0.0096)
-0.42 to +0.56 Ideological Radicality (mean +0.0614)
-76.24 to +146.77 Defense Forces (mean +16.2268)
+0 to +1.53 Pacifism (mean +0.2789)
-1.67 to -0 Economic Freedom (mean -0.5015)
-0.33 to +2.11 Taxation (mean +0.3766)
-1.93 to +0.74 Freedom From Taxation (mean -0.8219)
+0 to +116.1 Authoritarianism (mean +19.9521)
-0.35 to +1.03 Employment (mean -0.0098)
-47.87 to +44.67 Public Transport (mean +5.6668)
-0.75 to +23.25 Tourism (mean +4.8675)
-0.17 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0122)
-0.29 to +0.08 Recreational Drug Use (mean -0.1073)
-0.18 to -0 Obesity (mean -0.0276)
-6.81 to -0 Secularism (mean -1.0911)
-18.98 to +0.07 Charmlessness (mean -0.4941)
-0.56 to +0.42 Averageness (mean -0.0614)
-0.97 to -0 Human Development Index (mean -0.2888)
+0 to +91.78 Primitiveness (mean +28.6414)
-81.96 to -0 Scientific Advancement (mean -27.0957)
-0.02 to -0 Inclusiveness (mean -0.0002)
-2141.28 to +502.83 Average Income (mean -677.3056)
-1490.17 to +928.49 Average Income of Poor (mean -84.7819)
-41402 to +223 Average Income of Rich (mean -2838.4701)
-56.74 to +129.98 Public Education (mean +21.1762)
-1.53 to -0 Crime (mean -0.1135)
-20.6 to +27.67 Foreign Aid (mean +1.9556)
-2354.45 to +502.83 Average Disposable Income (mean -608.0501)
-0.56 to +0.08 Patriotism (mean -0.0535)
-0.77 to +0.21 Food Quality (mean -0.0882)
sometimes removes notability: irreverence towards religion
may add or remove notability: punitive income tax rates
sometimes adds notability: stringent health and safety legislation
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2025-04-08
2023-07-09
2024-04-07
|
| 5. future forecasters fearfully discuss grey goo and human obsolescence |
-0.1 to +2.38 Civil Rights (mean +0.0066)
-0.95 to -0 Political Freedom (mean -0.0027)
-2.51 to +0.15 Death Rate (mean -0.0390)
+0 to +1.68 Compassion (mean +0.6986)
-57.44 to +101.65 Eco-Friendliness (mean -0.8960)
-3.58 to +0.1 Social Conservatism (mean -0.0101)
+0 to +9 Nudity (mean +0.0260)
-183.68 to +36.98 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean -6.5744)
-71.7 to +158.34 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +12.5999)
+0 to +2666.57 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean +966.6534)
-2168.73 to -0 Industry: Information Technology (mean -843.2656)
-123.19 to +33.89 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean -6.1686)
-146.24 to +520.61 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean +59.9988)
-349.03 to +54.69 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean -53.0559)
-76.32 to +380.88 Sector: Agriculture (mean +22.2553)
-263.26 to +71.99 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean -5.1434)
-170.54 to +38.74 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean -7.6507)
-109.59 to +93.4 Industry: Mining (mean -8.4505)
-204.45 to +61.49 Industry: Insurance (mean -6.0360)
-183.68 to +47.76 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean -7.7585)
-169.94 to +198.31 Industry: Retail (mean -9.7653)
-129.74 to +124.55 Industry: Book Publishing (mean -5.3521)
-257.34 to +27.43 Industry: Gambling (mean -23.3925)
-123.14 to +2477.25 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +906.3107)
+0 to +0.11 Government Size (mean +0.0005)
-126.77 to +87.56 Welfare (mean -4.8653)
-140.03 to +81.28 Public Healthcare (mean -5.3499)
-121.36 to +71 Law Enforcement (mean -7.4267)
-172.71 to +72.31 Business Subsidization (mean -5.5854)
+0 to +1.67 Niceness (mean +0.5281)
-1.16 to -0 Rudeness (mean -0.4202)
-0.7 to +0.46 Intelligence (mean -0.2309)
-1.05 to +1.96 Ignorance (mean +0.1803)
+0 to +0.52 Health (mean +0.0015)
+0 to +0.49 Cheerfulness (mean +0.0014)
+0 to +4 Weather (mean +1.9682)
+0 to +0.49 Compliance (mean +0.1095)
-0.45 to +1.7 Safety (mean +0.5165)
-0.17 to +0.61 Lifespan (mean +0.0165)
-0.48 to +1.19 Ideological Radicality (mean +0.0021)
-163.37 to +40.3 Defense Forces (mean -7.3788)
+0 to +6.71 Pacifism (mean +2.2819)
-1.98 to +1.53 Taxation (mean -0.1691)
-1.2 to +1.92 Freedom From Taxation (mean +0.1997)
-0.93 to +1.58 Corruption (mean -0.3096)
-0.11 to +0.48 Integrity (mean +0.0642)
-34.6 to +54.95 Authoritarianism (mean +0.1205)
-0.26 to +0.65 Employment (mean +0.0832)
-54.24 to +58.37 Public Transport (mean -2.6015)
+0 to +57.49 Tourism (mean +11.5109)
-0.1 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0062)
-0.06 to +2.94 Recreational Drug Use (mean +0.0082)
-0.44 to -0 Obesity (mean -0.0242)
+0 to +37.63 Environmental Beauty (mean +13.8671)
-14.32 to -0 Charmlessness (mean -0.6244)
-1.19 to +0.48 Averageness (mean -0.0021)
-0.05 to +0.2 Human Development Index (mean +0.0064)
+0 to +96.74 Primitiveness (mean +34.1872)
-74.79 to -0 Scientific Advancement (mean -16.0179)
+0 to +3.49 Inclusiveness (mean +0.0101)
-1093.51 to +1873.39 Average Income (mean +129.2580)
-900.68 to +991.76 Average Income of Poor (mean +66.0200)
-4209 to +4549 Average Income of Rich (mean +236.6387)
-92.73 to +147.6 Public Education (mean -4.4705)
-0.54 to -0 Crime (mean -0.0411)
-31.69 to +28.35 Foreign Aid (mean -1.3752)
-1015.6 to +2401.03 Average Disposable Income (mean +185.3772)
-0.22 to -0 Patriotism (mean -0.0006)
+0 to +1.64 Food Quality (mean +0.2743)
sometimes removes notability: barren, inhospitable landscape
sometimes removes notability: hatred of cheese
may add or remove notability: punitive income tax rates
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2025-06-12
2024-01-11
2025-04-17
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