#1517 I Guess You Can Tell Me the Odds

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1. a shocking number of government bills get lost in committee
+0 to +1.29 Political Freedom (mean +0.3081)
+0 to +0.56 Death Rate (mean +0.0362)
-6.63 to -0 Eco-Friendliness (mean -0.9413)
-8.62 to -0 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean -1.1562)
-17 to -0 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean -1.3825)
-10.86 to -0 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean -0.9337)
-91.56 to -0 Industry: Information Technology (mean -8.4013)
-7.88 to -0 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean -1.1700)
-4.04 to -0 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean -0.3656)
-61.66 to -0 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean -5.2706)
-27.51 to -0 Sector: Agriculture (mean -1.9062)
-17.38 to -0 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean -2.7569)
-7.85 to -0 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean -1.1919)
-15.36 to -0 Industry: Mining (mean -1.6963)
-1.31 to -0 Industry: Insurance (mean -0.0969)
-14.67 to -0 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean -1.1075)
-13.92 to -0 Industry: Retail (mean -2.0106)
-27.79 to -0 Industry: Book Publishing (mean -3.0013)
-11.27 to -0 Industry: Gambling (mean -1.0137)
-72.52 to -0 Sector: Manufacturing (mean -7.3613)
-9.5 to -0 Welfare (mean -1.5400)
-10.56 to -0 Public Healthcare (mean -1.6213)
-5.87 to -0 Law Enforcement (mean -0.7856)
-18.37 to -0 Business Subsidization (mean -2.4881)
+0 to +2.82 Rudeness (mean +0.5719)
+0 to +0.02 Intelligence (mean +0.0019)
-0.18 to -0 Ignorance (mean -0.0375)
+0 to +0.17 Compliance (mean +0.0175)
+0 to +0.86 Safety (mean +0.2106)
-0.07 to -0 Lifespan (mean -0.0044)
-0.43 to -0 Ideological Radicality (mean -0.1019)
-12.77 to -0 Defense Forces (mean -1.6981)
-1.09 to -0.01 Corruption (mean -0.5900)
+0.01 to +0.48 Integrity (mean +0.1138)
-121.96 to -0 Authoritarianism (mean -24.0263)
+0 to +0.1 Employment (mean +0.0419)
-7.65 to -0 Public Transport (mean -0.6881)
+0 to +1.18 Tourism (mean +0.1725)
-0.01 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0006)
-0.49 to -0 Charmlessness (mean -0.1069)
+0 to +0.43 Averageness (mean +0.1019)
-0.02 to -0 Human Development Index (mean -0.0013)
-420.8 to -0 Average Income (mean -52.5881)
-350.09 to -0 Average Income of Poor (mean -31.0437)
-537 to -0 Average Income of Rich (mean -105.6875)
-13.6 to -0 Public Education (mean -2.2275)
-0.07 to -0 Crime (mean -0.0062)
-4.11 to -0 Foreign Aid (mean -0.4850)
-92.15 to -0 Average Disposable Income (mean -15.5594)
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2. the government is busy chasing ghosts
-0.86 to -0 Political Freedom (mean -0.3822)
-0.33 to -0 Death Rate (mean -0.1056)
-0.86 to +0.92 Eco-Friendliness (mean -0.0133)
-0.15 to +24.99 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean +5.2011)
-1.48 to +5.99 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +0.9822)
-6.55 to +10.67 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean +2.0633)
+0 to +37 Industry: Information Technology (mean +8.7633)
+0 to +13.69 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean +2.5556)
+0 to +1.82 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean +0.2900)
-3.68 to +27.4 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +8.8900)
+0 to +12.63 Sector: Agriculture (mean +3.3744)
-3.65 to +15.01 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +3.7444)
-1.77 to +24.52 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +7.2200)
-6.49 to +38.9 Industry: Mining (mean +13.8167)
+0 to +25.56 Industry: Insurance (mean +3.1189)
-4.72 to +10.47 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean +1.9444)
-6.91 to +82.43 Industry: Retail (mean +15.3744)
-1.88 to +26.43 Industry: Book Publishing (mean +3.9411)
-242.55 to +13.53 Industry: Gambling (mean -74.6922)
-8.23 to +52.25 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +16.1556)
+0.03 to +0.06 Government Size (mean +0.0422)
-2.55 to +0.84 Welfare (mean -0.1567)
-5.09 to +6.45 Public Healthcare (mean +1.1844)
+86.7 to +245.03 Law Enforcement (mean +153.5844)
-8.66 to +19.62 Business Subsidization (mean +4.7844)
-2.69 to -0 Rudeness (mean -1.0889)
-0.04 to -0 Intelligence (mean -0.0067)
+0 to +0.11 Ignorance (mean +0.0411)
+0.15 to +0.67 Compliance (mean +0.3589)
+0 to +0.02 Safety (mean +0.0078)
-0.01 to +0.07 Lifespan (mean +0.0167)
+0 to +0.29 Ideological Radicality (mean +0.1278)
-2.7 to +14.5 Defense Forces (mean +4.0300)
+0 to +0.48 Pacifism (mean +0.1056)
+0 to +0.31 Taxation (mean +0.1522)
-0.78 to -0.66 Freedom From Taxation (mean -0.7144)
+0.98 to +1.38 Corruption (mean +1.1900)
-0.91 to -0 Integrity (mean -0.2300)
+0 to +65.19 Authoritarianism (mean +24.8433)
-0.38 to -0.01 Employment (mean -0.0956)
-1.92 to +1.98 Public Transport (mean +0.5800)
+0 to +7.9 Tourism (mean +1.3233)
-0.1 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0200)
-0.29 to -0 Recreational Drug Use (mean -0.1378)
-1.6 to -0.16 Charmlessness (mean -0.7933)
-0.29 to -0 Averageness (mean -0.1278)
+0 to +0.03 Human Development Index (mean +0.0067)
+44.9 to +428 Average Income (mean +180.9389)
+5.29 to +167.98 Average Income of Poor (mean +63.2433)
+67 to +3588 Average Income of Rich (mean +707.3333)
-7.23 to +12.11 Public Education (mean +1.8789)
-0.47 to -0 Crime (mean -0.2256)
-0.03 to +0.71 Foreign Aid (mean +0.0922)
-519.53 to +4.39 Average Disposable Income (mean -191.8189)
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3. governance is once again the domain of the elite
+9.24 to +19.05 Political Freedom (mean +15.0062)
-0.32 to -0 Death Rate (mean -0.0492)
-4.32 to +2.64 Eco-Friendliness (mean -0.8108)
-2.4 to +3.77 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean -0.0185)
-5.13 to +5.39 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean -0.5223)
-5.47 to +4.91 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean -0.9308)
-12.23 to +19.39 Industry: Information Technology (mean -1.2015)
-7.66 to +5.76 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean -0.4085)
-7.9 to +1.11 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean -1.0392)
-8.41 to +34.02 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +1.6069)
-9.01 to +6.55 Sector: Agriculture (mean -1.3800)
-4.19 to +3.5 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean -0.6031)
-6.1 to +5.13 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean -0.0838)
-10.04 to +6 Industry: Mining (mean -1.7985)
-2.6 to +1.35 Industry: Insurance (mean -0.3300)
-6.64 to +6.49 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean -0.8992)
-8.85 to +11.01 Industry: Retail (mean -1.5269)
-10.73 to +3.8 Industry: Book Publishing (mean -2.1969)
-146.28 to +141.15 Industry: Gambling (mean -0.5823)
-10.66 to +42.69 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +0.6592)
+0 to +0.06 Government Size (mean +0.0392)
-4.27 to +2.98 Welfare (mean -0.6554)
-4.27 to +5.83 Public Healthcare (mean -1.1085)
-8.87 to +4.67 Law Enforcement (mean -1.4000)
-7.49 to +5.7 Business Subsidization (mean -1.3608)
-0.15 to +37.43 Rudeness (mean +15.0662)
+0.01 to +3.46 Intelligence (mean +1.6431)
-3.1 to -0.02 Ignorance (mean -0.7138)
+0.14 to +1.17 Compliance (mean +0.3615)
+0.02 to +4.83 Safety (mean +1.7362)
-0.01 to +0.01 Lifespan (mean +0.0023)
-4.77 to +4.76 Ideological Radicality (mean -1.5223)
-3.1 to +12.15 Defense Forces (mean +0.2508)
+0 to +0.59 Pacifism (mean +0.2092)
-0.01 to +0.34 Taxation (mean +0.1262)
-0.77 to +0.08 Freedom From Taxation (mean -0.6177)
-10.78 to -0.07 Corruption (mean -4.1985)
+0.15 to +4.98 Integrity (mean +1.1169)
-1007.6 to -80.63 Authoritarianism (mean -439.3308)
-0.28 to -0 Employment (mean -0.1369)
-1.89 to +1.79 Public Transport (mean -0.4862)
-25.14 to +42.65 Tourism (mean +5.7538)
-0.1 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0138)
-7.78 to +0.03 Charmlessness (mean -1.7592)
-4.76 to +4.77 Averageness (mean +1.5223)
+0 to +0.01 Human Development Index (mean +0.0015)
-6.45 to -0.03 Inclusiveness (mean -1.7208)
-4.58 to +313.24 Average Income (mean +120.1192)
-2.09 to +246.05 Average Income of Poor (mean +78.5438)
-9 to +522 Average Income of Rich (mean +195.9231)
-7.24 to +7.69 Public Education (mean -1.6485)
-0.45 to -0 Crime (mean -0.0777)
-2.31 to +0.96 Foreign Aid (mean -0.2931)
-457.33 to +84.19 Average Disposable Income (mean -80.8754)
-3.26 to -0.01 Food Quality (mean -0.9969)
sometimes adds policy: Native Representation
sometimes adds policy: Proportional Representation
removes policy: Sortition
sometimes adds policy: Term Limits
sometimes adds notability: daily referendums
sometimes adds notability: punitive income tax rates
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2025-09-10
2025-09-03
2025-09-12
2025-09-10
2025-09-12
2025-09-12

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