| Option | Result | Data points / Last confirmed |
|---|---|---|
| 1. the house always wins |
-2.25 to +0.64 Economy (mean -0.1405)
-27.56 to -0 Wealth Gaps (mean -0.7370)
-3.55 to +0.23 Death Rate (mean -0.1048)
-20.81 to +26.57 Eco-Friendliness (mean +0.6329)
-142.51 to +35.25 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean -3.1932)
-111.63 to +29.18 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +0.6976)
-73.12 to +29.62 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean -0.4659)
+0.36 to +554.11 Industry: Information Technology (mean +229.9634)
-149.43 to +21.46 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean -2.8430)
-133.01 to +30.81 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean -3.6862)
-95.37 to +219.53 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +32.8026)
-74.44 to +51.38 Sector: Agriculture (mean +4.3690)
-49.28 to +35.89 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +1.2336)
-101.87 to +52.11 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +4.0832)
-130.35 to +51.66 Industry: Mining (mean +3.4102)
-53.01 to +20.17 Industry: Insurance (mean -2.1111)
-102.93 to +53.35 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean +6.1264)
-93.03 to +160.14 Industry: Retail (mean +2.9511)
-97.98 to +77.82 Industry: Book Publishing (mean -0.6484)
-98.76 to +177.15 Industry: Gambling (mean +1.2782)
-216.06 to +244.23 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +29.1425)
+0 to +0.1 Government Size (mean +0.0213)
-69.28 to +24.14 Welfare (mean -1.6877)
-44.54 to +26.53 Public Healthcare (mean +0.3691)
+0.2 to +114.56 Law Enforcement (mean +59.8662)
-24.88 to +71.85 Business Subsidization (mean +6.1505)
+0 to +3.34 Income Equality (mean +0.3857)
-6.68 to +0.04 Rudeness (mean -0.6878)
+0 to +0.22 Intelligence (mean +0.0628)
-0.36 to -0 Ignorance (mean -0.0344)
+0 to +1.17 Compliance (mean +0.1734)
-0.83 to +1.29 Safety (mean -0.0490)
-0.3 to +0.51 Lifespan (mean +0.0169)
-0.49 to +0.75 Ideological Radicality (mean +0.1100)
-49.48 to +54.69 Defense Forces (mean +3.6390)
+0 to +0.98 Pacifism (mean +0.1161)
-2.25 to -0.08 Economic Freedom (mean -0.7906)
-0.1 to +0.22 Taxation (mean +0.0496)
-0.63 to +0.05 Freedom From Taxation (mean -0.2734)
+0 to +1.69 Corruption (mean +0.9341)
-0.85 to -0 Integrity (mean -0.2006)
+0.54 to +81.77 Authoritarianism (mean +30.5715)
-1.28 to -0 Employment (mean -0.2504)
-32.16 to +8.53 Public Transport (mean -0.6038)
+0 to +11.69 Tourism (mean +1.4494)
-0.14 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0105)
-0.17 to -0 Recreational Drug Use (mean -0.0640)
-0.12 to -0 Obesity (mean -0.0167)
-8.22 to +0.09 Charmlessness (mean -0.2642)
-0.75 to +0.49 Averageness (mean -0.1100)
-0.54 to +0.3 Human Development Index (mean -0.0376)
-36.06 to -0.45 Primitiveness (mean -3.2006)
+0.44 to +30.96 Scientific Advancement (mean +2.4419)
-1741.17 to +1435.61 Average Income (mean +346.1353)
-713.08 to +5215.7 Average Income of Poor (mean +908.1781)
-32162 to +3612 Average Income of Rich (mean -3271.8333)
-46.93 to +49.33 Public Education (mean +1.9499)
-0.79 to -0 Crime (mean -0.0649)
-27.22 to +8.24 Foreign Aid (mean -0.2157)
-1215.28 to +623.73 Average Disposable Income (mean +55.8673)
-0.87 to -0 Food Quality (mean -0.2100)
+0 to +2.64 Accessibility (mean +0.0244)
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| 2. minor code style errors dull the house edge |
-0.96 to -0 Civil Rights (mean -0.0051)
-2 to +0.28 Economy (mean -0.0746)
-10.43 to +0.17 Wealth Gaps (mean -0.2909)
-0.49 to +1.44 Death Rate (mean +0.0557)
-0.23 to -0 Compassion (mean -0.0012)
-58.59 to +55.8 Eco-Friendliness (mean +1.4852)
+0 to +0.71 Social Conservatism (mean +0.0039)
-2.25 to -0 Nudity (mean -0.0110)
-57.95 to +32.07 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean +0.4869)
-57.62 to +36.14 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +0.3744)
-85.83 to +50.58 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean +0.2099)
-82.22 to +313.33 Industry: Information Technology (mean +16.4176)
-88.52 to +44.79 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean +0.5417)
-237.83 to +29.66 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean -2.0939)
-107.67 to +231.7 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +10.0859)
-160.98 to +102.01 Sector: Agriculture (mean +2.4084)
-37.85 to +57.48 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +1.4844)
-180.26 to +43.69 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean -0.2003)
-59.95 to +61.4 Industry: Mining (mean +1.6548)
-21.2 to +19.68 Industry: Insurance (mean +0.3425)
-120.31 to +27.71 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean +0.7172)
-137.34 to +86.29 Industry: Retail (mean +5.0365)
-131.62 to +165.95 Industry: Book Publishing (mean +5.0235)
-38.7 to +296.22 Industry: Gambling (mean +31.0586)
-141.01 to +247.8 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +10.7831)
+0 to +0.15 Government Size (mean +0.0014)
-123.69 to +46.31 Welfare (mean -0.0468)
-104.16 to +47.39 Public Healthcare (mean +1.2170)
-75.11 to +101.47 Law Enforcement (mean +2.1062)
-39.06 to +111.96 Business Subsidization (mean +4.8841)
-0.09 to +2.32 Income Equality (mean +0.1603)
-0.16 to -0 Niceness (mean -0.0008)
-3.71 to +5.19 Rudeness (mean -0.5454)
-0.12 to +0.05 Intelligence (mean -0.0004)
+0 to +0.04 Ignorance (mean +0.0002)
-1 to -0 Weather (mean -0.0049)
-1.64 to -0 Compliance (mean -0.3633)
-4.34 to +1.29 Safety (mean -0.2451)
-0.52 to +0.1 Lifespan (mean -0.0238)
-0.25 to +0.73 Ideological Radicality (mean -0.0031)
-57.23 to +126.39 Defense Forces (mean +3.5837)
-1.45 to +0.04 Pacifism (mean -0.2228)
-1.5 to +0.33 Economic Freedom (mean -0.2906)
-0.25 to +0.93 Taxation (mean +0.0049)
-1.78 to +0.33 Freedom From Taxation (mean -0.0423)
-1.38 to +62.67 Authoritarianism (mean +4.8275)
+0 to +1 Culture (mean +0.0049)
-0.91 to +0.03 Employment (mean -0.0461)
-49.91 to +27.2 Public Transport (mean +0.4821)
-39.85 to +0.66 Tourism (mean -6.3006)
+0 to +0.23 Weaponization (mean +0.0357)
-0.56 to +0.44 Recreational Drug Use (mean +0.2309)
-0.06 to +0.02 Obesity (mean -0.0080)
-0.01 to +26.5 Charmlessness (mean +1.0766)
-0.73 to +0.25 Averageness (mean +0.0031)
-0.54 to +0.67 Human Development Index (mean -0.0239)
+0 to +0.31 Primitiveness (mean +0.0015)
+0 to +3.11 Inclusiveness (mean +0.0201)
-1446.06 to +1426.62 Average Income (mean +100.0799)
-1047.26 to +1850.93 Average Income of Poor (mean +308.1500)
-16386 to +9166 Average Income of Rich (mean -1370.3805)
-96.57 to +84.65 Public Education (mean +3.0551)
+0 to +1.42 Crime (mean +0.1639)
-47.74 to +8.15 Foreign Aid (mean -0.3577)
-1122.3 to +563.49 Average Disposable Income (mean +16.2480)
+0 to +0.04 Patriotism (mean +0.0002)
-0.86 to +1.21 Food Quality (mean -0.0507)
-0.16 to +16.56 Accessibility (mean +1.8049)
sometimes removes notability: spontaneously combusting cars
sometimes adds notability: stringent health and safety legislation
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2026-03-26
2026-03-15
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| 3. the cloud has been dealt a fouled hand |
-2.16 to +0.03 Economy (mean -0.2258)
-9.73 to -0 Wealth Gaps (mean -0.8306)
-1.9 to +0.35 Death Rate (mean -0.1039)
-63.17 to +39.17 Eco-Friendliness (mean +1.0825)
-81.98 to +48.89 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean +0.3912)
-111.6 to +37.98 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +0.5850)
-159.71 to +40.14 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean -3.3128)
-864.6 to +77.06 Industry: Information Technology (mean -378.3009)
-74.48 to +60.41 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean -1.2048)
-192.06 to +25.88 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean -2.5513)
-185.74 to +353.86 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +16.8459)
-150.63 to +100.09 Sector: Agriculture (mean +3.3077)
-93.77 to +71.97 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean -0.3831)
-60.31 to +55.99 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +1.5661)
-81.76 to +122.21 Industry: Mining (mean +5.4814)
-90.24 to +44.75 Industry: Insurance (mean -1.1941)
-128.42 to +86.1 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean +3.2814)
-92.43 to +218.57 Industry: Retail (mean +11.1034)
-106.64 to +149.12 Industry: Book Publishing (mean +5.3936)
+44.36 to +1859.44 Industry: Gambling (mean +458.0469)
-213.88 to +419.21 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +13.9230)
-49.22 to +40.15 Welfare (mean -0.6311)
-53.2 to +43.89 Public Healthcare (mean +1.0717)
-48.65 to +51.97 Law Enforcement (mean +4.5611)
-61.6 to +77.65 Business Subsidization (mean +6.7052)
+0 to +1.97 Income Equality (mean +0.5211)
-9.45 to +0.02 Rudeness (mean -2.0936)
-0.39 to -0 Intelligence (mean -0.1073)
+0 to +0.64 Ignorance (mean +0.0778)
+0 to +4 Weather (mean +0.0625)
+0 to +0.22 Compliance (mean +0.0380)
+0 to +0.45 Safety (mean +0.0216)
-0.3 to +1.08 Lifespan (mean +0.0269)
-0.7 to +0.61 Ideological Radicality (mean +0.0300)
-70.53 to +121.15 Defense Forces (mean +5.8420)
+0 to +0.2 Pacifism (mean +0.0219)
-2.11 to -0.29 Economic Freedom (mean -1.0511)
-0.56 to +0.8 Taxation (mean +0.0305)
-2.38 to +0.83 Freedom From Taxation (mean -0.2084)
-0.48 to -0 Corruption (mean -0.0075)
+0 to +0.04 Integrity (mean +0.0006)
+3.38 to +125.94 Authoritarianism (mean +28.8803)
-2.12 to -0 Employment (mean -0.1436)
-19.97 to +22.93 Public Transport (mean -0.2547)
-1.15 to +5.91 Tourism (mean +0.2827)
-0.02 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0025)
-0.11 to -0 Obesity (mean -0.0288)
+0 to +0.04 Environmental Beauty (mean +0.0006)
-5.98 to +0.17 Charmlessness (mean -0.1812)
-0.61 to +0.7 Averageness (mean -0.0300)
-0.32 to +0.36 Human Development Index (mean -0.0537)
+0.87 to +52.24 Primitiveness (mean +5.5906)
-42.46 to -0.84 Scientific Advancement (mean -5.2650)
-1496.24 to +1732.31 Average Income (mean +148.0286)
-753.1 to +3895.02 Average Income of Poor (mean +983.4769)
-89046 to +11011 Average Income of Rich (mean -6654.8438)
-106.4 to +90.54 Public Education (mean +2.6603)
-0.1 to -0 Crime (mean -0.0089)
-17.51 to +5.32 Foreign Aid (mean -0.3336)
-1121.2 to +893.33 Average Disposable Income (mean -12.6736)
-0.86 to -0 Food Quality (mean -0.1441)
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| 4. luck is off the table |
-13.8 to -0 Economy (mean -1.8715)
-21.88 to -0.01 Wealth Gaps (mean -1.5997)
-20.56 to +6.51 Death Rate (mean -0.5522)
-457.12 to +207.68 Eco-Friendliness (mean +14.4088)
-426.08 to +124.37 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean -17.3931)
-471.13 to +292.08 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean -0.5374)
-642.91 to +1030.84 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean +46.1018)
-1706.58 to +1616.54 Industry: Information Technology (mean +102.9507)
-353.7 to +232.64 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean +10.7388)
-475.07 to +289.8 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean -18.5349)
-4702.69 to +1664.87 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +137.0069)
-828.15 to +481.32 Sector: Agriculture (mean +14.4684)
-449.27 to +506.76 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +18.5137)
-2172.21 to +1114.53 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +23.7913)
-2064.84 to +3339.21 Industry: Mining (mean +114.5422)
-564.86 to +228.07 Industry: Insurance (mean -10.5919)
-702.98 to +1026.44 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean +49.5250)
-860.07 to +3539.65 Industry: Retail (mean +143.0169)
-418.83 to +975.97 Industry: Book Publishing (mean +28.5679)
-18703.47 to -0 Industry: Gambling (mean -2435.4940)
-5359.79 to +1940.22 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +165.7151)
-494.19 to +275.49 Welfare (mean -17.5591)
-457.12 to +492.98 Public Healthcare (mean +28.8106)
-483.15 to +925.11 Law Enforcement (mean +64.7243)
-265.6 to +915.69 Business Subsidization (mean +98.4328)
+0.05 to +10.76 Income Equality (mean +4.1285)
-67 to +0.45 Rudeness (mean -7.4519)
+0.01 to +1.43 Compliance (mean +0.2787)
+0 to +7.79 Safety (mean +0.3054)
-1.91 to +3.44 Lifespan (mean +0.0594)
-4.35 to +3.96 Ideological Radicality (mean +1.3634)
-935.23 to +803.16 Defense Forces (mean +44.9871)
+0 to +2.67 Pacifism (mean +0.2138)
-13.07 to -0.25 Economic Freedom (mean -6.6412)
+0.01 to +5.7 Taxation (mean +0.6543)
-42.91 to -0.13 Freedom From Taxation (mean -3.8406)
+5.49 to +1368.92 Authoritarianism (mean +283.8547)
-7.84 to +0.45 Employment (mean -1.0165)
-284.16 to +159.11 Public Transport (mean +5.3521)
-37.36 to +56.34 Tourism (mean -0.9287)
-0.16 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0100)
+0 to +0.98 Recreational Drug Use (mean +0.3863)
-1.04 to +0.29 Obesity (mean -0.1687)
-25.67 to +5.77 Charmlessness (mean -0.0681)
-3.96 to +4.35 Averageness (mean -1.3634)
-3.3 to +1.14 Human Development Index (mean -0.5750)
-20958.45 to +3450.28 Average Income (mean -1745.6831)
-6311.15 to +26482.39 Average Income of Poor (mean +5604.6976)
-270849 to -15 Average Income of Rich (mean -30509.8235)
-753.64 to +896.21 Public Education (mean +49.4213)
-2.68 to -0 Crime (mean -0.1154)
-210.03 to +99.12 Foreign Aid (mean -2.2397)
-12746.87 to +108.1 Average Disposable Income (mean -1954.5875)
-6.35 to -0 Food Quality (mean -1.0369)
-3.6 to -0 Accessibility (mean -0.9624)
adds policy: No Gambling
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