| Option | Result | Data points / Last confirmed |
|---|---|---|
| 1. citizens with artificial limbs are forbidden to serve as beauty pageant judges |
-3.34 to -0 Civil Rights (mean -0.5641)
-0.11 to +0.7 Death Rate (mean +0.0006)
-5.6 to +8.72 Eco-Friendliness (mean -0.0150)
+0 to +2.5 Social Conservatism (mean +0.5268)
-6.75 to -0 Nudity (mean -0.4600)
-0.74 to +0.82 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean -0.0166)
-2.69 to +0.73 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean -0.0521)
-12.01 to +17.3 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean -0.0142)
-6.03 to +94.96 Industry: Information Technology (mean +0.1479)
-0.43 to +0.58 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean -0.0009)
-0.71 to +0.7 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean -0.0102)
-4.34 to +13.27 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean -0.3247)
-1.12 to +6.73 Sector: Agriculture (mean -0.0447)
-0.43 to +17 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +0.0365)
-1.06 to +45.07 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +0.0779)
-8.12 to +25.14 Industry: Mining (mean -0.0001)
-9.15 to +0.52 Industry: Insurance (mean -0.0358)
-2.8 to +8.34 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean -0.0376)
-51.22 to +22.47 Industry: Retail (mean -0.0934)
-37.31 to +0.96 Industry: Book Publishing (mean -0.1430)
-20.49 to -0 Industry: Gambling (mean -0.7089)
-12.01 to +30.57 Sector: Manufacturing (mean -0.3555)
-0.24 to +0.16 Government Size (mean -0.0003)
-0.33 to +0.62 Welfare (mean -0.0084)
-3.64 to +14.47 Public Healthcare (mean -0.0034)
-7.28 to +30.03 Law Enforcement (mean -0.0112)
-6.16 to +23.03 Business Subsidization (mean -0.0129)
-341.4 to -0 Religiousness (mean -1.0702)
-1.16 to +0.97 Intelligence (mean -0.0815)
-0.01 to +0.94 Ignorance (mean +0.0599)
-2 to -0 Weather (mean -0.0063)
+0 to +0.24 Compliance (mean +0.0124)
+0 to +0.52 Safety (mean +0.0198)
-0.51 to +0.06 Lifespan (mean -0.0004)
-0.67 to +0.83 Ideological Radicality (mean +0.0298)
-1.44 to +18.99 Defense Forces (mean -0.0391)
+0 to +2.04 Pacifism (mean +0.1543)
-0.68 to +0.95 Taxation (mean +0.0011)
-2.51 to +5.33 Freedom From Taxation (mean +0.0083)
+0 to +114.71 Authoritarianism (mean +13.2188)
-0.01 to +0.01 Employment (mean -0.0000)
-0.56 to +4.21 Public Transport (mean -0.0020)
-3.22 to +6.92 Tourism (mean +0.2528)
-0.22 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0020)
-11.1 to +0.96 Recreational Drug Use (mean -0.4470)
+0 to +0.47 Secularism (mean +0.0015)
-1.31 to +0.54 Charmlessness (mean +0.0047)
-0.83 to +0.67 Averageness (mean -0.0298)
-0.17 to +0.12 Human Development Index (mean +0.0002)
-1.51 to -0 Primitiveness (mean -0.0047)
+0 to +1.37 Scientific Advancement (mean +0.0043)
+0 to +0.68 Inclusiveness (mean +0.0021)
-1197.19 to +258.13 Average Income (mean -5.2870)
-994.68 to +44.38 Average Income of Poor (mean -4.0983)
-1413 to +1018 Average Income of Rich (mean -6.1505)
-0.83 to +171.79 Public Education (mean +0.5374)
-0.12 to -0 Crime (mean -0.0063)
-0.12 to +1.4 Foreign Aid (mean +0.0006)
-1494.89 to +1327.05 Average Disposable Income (mean -1.5742)
+0 to +0.14 Patriotism (mean +0.0125)
sometimes removes notability: absence of drug laws
sometimes adds notability: restrictive gun laws
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2024-03-18
2025-02-11
|
| 2/3. every microwave and toaster is being disassembled and probed by inspectors |
-2.42 to -0 Civil Rights (mean -0.1095)
+0 to +0.19 Economy (mean +0.0014)
+0 to +0.09 Wealth Gaps (mean +0.0007)
-2.15 to +0.11 Death Rate (mean -0.0430)
-1.36 to -0 Compassion (mean -0.0101)
-24.03 to +46.01 Eco-Friendliness (mean +5.1220)
+0 to +1.82 Social Conservatism (mean +0.1266)
-4.5 to -0 Nudity (mean -0.0653)
-108.36 to +68.7 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean +8.6925)
-67.1 to +95.1 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +7.3046)
-98.77 to +92.37 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean +13.1513)
-1517.42 to -0 Industry: Information Technology (mean -787.0441)
-66.68 to +87.05 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean +5.4264)
-51.63 to +95.82 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean +10.8218)
-386.87 to +139.87 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +14.8964)
-107.33 to +58 Sector: Agriculture (mean +6.5316)
-152.99 to +48.47 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +4.0593)
-108.36 to +106.35 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +8.1065)
-116.26 to +154.52 Industry: Mining (mean +13.1564)
-19.46 to +70.77 Industry: Insurance (mean +8.9169)
-97.3 to +87.76 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean +8.8848)
-283.54 to +127.47 Industry: Retail (mean +14.3328)
-102.16 to +99.63 Industry: Book Publishing (mean +11.5207)
-495.37 to +47.48 Industry: Gambling (mean -69.0184)
-410.55 to +199.44 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +36.7375)
+0 to +0.16 Government Size (mean +0.0561)
-56.47 to +109.39 Welfare (mean +8.8239)
-62.4 to +46.28 Public Healthcare (mean +9.6607)
+0 to +303.84 Law Enforcement (mean +152.0896)
-144.73 to +55.12 Business Subsidization (mean +7.9977)
-0.09 to -0 Income Equality (mean -0.0007)
-1.57 to -0 Niceness (mean -0.0117)
+0 to +0.66 Rudeness (mean +0.0049)
-1.29 to -0 Intelligence (mean -0.2518)
+0 to +1.67 Ignorance (mean +0.2153)
+0 to +1.24 Compliance (mean +0.3151)
+0 to +7.85 Safety (mean +2.6401)
-0.06 to +0.15 Lifespan (mean +0.0102)
-0.56 to +0.61 Ideological Radicality (mean -0.0202)
-132.58 to +51.92 Defense Forces (mean +9.1353)
-0.48 to +2.84 Pacifism (mean +0.3131)
+0 to +0.28 Economic Freedom (mean +0.0021)
+0 to +1.54 Taxation (mean +0.5547)
-1.7 to -0 Freedom From Taxation (mean -1.2586)
-3.65 to -0 Corruption (mean -1.6061)
+0 to +1.94 Integrity (mean +0.2469)
-2.85 to +18.5 Authoritarianism (mean +1.0740)
-0.02 to +4.26 Employment (mean +0.2271)
-21.13 to +18.88 Public Transport (mean +4.6215)
+0 to +21.48 Tourism (mean +6.8005)
-0.13 to -0 Weaponization (mean -0.0145)
-2.1 to -0 Recreational Drug Use (mean -0.2425)
+0 to +0.03 Obesity (mean +0.0002)
-15.87 to -0 Charmlessness (mean -0.6908)
-0.61 to +0.56 Averageness (mean +0.0202)
-0.02 to +0.05 Human Development Index (mean +0.0034)
+0 to +164.87 Primitiveness (mean +18.4525)
-164.67 to -0 Scientific Advancement (mean -15.3438)
-2657.46 to +70.85 Average Income (mean -451.9528)
-1141.44 to +29.27 Average Income of Poor (mean -241.3242)
-12550 to +652 Average Income of Rich (mean -961.2836)
-57.92 to +78.32 Public Education (mean +13.6064)
-1.16 to -0 Crime (mean -0.1253)
-14.81 to +15.61 Foreign Aid (mean +2.1513)
-1568.62 to -0 Average Disposable Income (mean -602.6793)
+0 to +0.08 Patriotism (mean +0.0016)
removes policy: AI Personhood
sometimes adds notability: punitive income tax rates
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2025-06-05
2025-05-02
|
| 4. court verdicts are predictable to within a hundredth of a percentage point |
+0 to +1.82 Civil Rights (mean +0.0104)
+0 to +10.67 Economy (mean +1.0184)
+0 to +19.16 Wealth Gaps (mean +0.1369)
-20.18 to +4.66 Death Rate (mean -0.0784)
-1.68 to -0 Compassion (mean -0.6647)
-57.26 to +344.2 Eco-Friendliness (mean +7.7878)
-1.36 to -0 Social Conservatism (mean -0.0091)
+0 to +2.25 Nudity (mean +0.0210)
-131.33 to +295.53 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean -3.6478)
-108.37 to +270.92 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +1.0218)
-113.87 to +390.83 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean -3.0257)
-669.22 to +2291.02 Industry: Information Technology (mean +1022.4543)
-94.96 to +833.74 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean +3.2920)
-226.62 to +1291.96 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean +20.9964)
-1116.25 to +1255.48 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean +33.7454)
-193.55 to +497.18 Sector: Agriculture (mean -2.5526)
-116.98 to +256.83 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean -5.7119)
-248.18 to +237.16 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean -5.1617)
-258.29 to +747.76 Industry: Mining (mean -10.1315)
-85.01 to +550.77 Industry: Insurance (mean +2.7714)
-179.47 to +464.51 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean -6.0342)
-246.41 to +308.18 Industry: Retail (mean -24.0543)
-325.31 to +893.33 Industry: Book Publishing (mean +2.9107)
-245.67 to +334.33 Industry: Gambling (mean -18.6084)
-1237 to +1347.99 Sector: Manufacturing (mean +27.0625)
-0.17 to +0.03 Government Size (mean -0.0501)
-60.75 to +1070.86 Welfare (mean +18.3317)
-92.49 to +650.17 Public Healthcare (mean +9.8280)
-161.49 to +688.41 Law Enforcement (mean +7.7829)
-141.81 to +363.33 Business Subsidization (mean -5.7434)
-17.13 to -0 Income Equality (mean -1.2261)
-1.67 to -0 Niceness (mean -0.4512)
-0.27 to +24.42 Rudeness (mean +1.6476)
+0 to +1.61 Intelligence (mean +0.3026)
-1.92 to -0 Ignorance (mean -0.1863)
-1.67 to -0 Political Apathy (mean -1.0313)
+0 to +0.52 Health (mean +0.0016)
-1 to +1 Weather (mean 0)
-1.07 to +0.18 Compliance (mean -0.1770)
-0.62 to +1.73 Safety (mean +0.6025)
-0.61 to +4.99 Lifespan (mean +0.0976)
-3.56 to +0.92 Ideological Radicality (mean -0.4487)
-128.38 to +484.58 Defense Forces (mean +5.7141)
-4.92 to -0 Pacifism (mean -0.8938)
+0 to +10.67 Economic Freedom (mean +1.4865)
-2.45 to -0 Taxation (mean -0.5927)
+0 to +4.43 Freedom From Taxation (mean +1.7180)
-2.19 to -0 Corruption (mean -0.7470)
+0 to +0.98 Integrity (mean +0.1838)
-1135.91 to -0 Authoritarianism (mean -56.1459)
-0.25 to +5.09 Employment (mean +0.4075)
-45.74 to +458.94 Public Transport (mean +9.2198)
-20.99 to +3.66 Tourism (mean -2.4919)
+0 to +0.3 Weaponization (mean +0.0115)
-0.39 to +1.07 Recreational Drug Use (mean -0.2055)
-0.24 to +0.31 Obesity (mean +0.0216)
+0 to +0.51 Environmental Beauty (mean +0.0016)
-1.07 to +7.68 Charmlessness (mean +0.2619)
-0.92 to +3.56 Averageness (mean +0.4487)
-0.2 to +3.13 Human Development Index (mean +0.2792)
-66.44 to -0 Primitiveness (mean -11.8690)
+0 to +47.44 Scientific Advancement (mean +8.7972)
+0 to +0.02 Inclusiveness (mean +0.0001)
-3877.56 to +11112.43 Average Income (mean +981.3367)
-13824.6 to +10508.05 Average Income of Poor (mean -91.9465)
-8409 to +48241 Average Income of Rich (mean +3140.5901)
-126.59 to +803.14 Public Education (mean +12.1284)
+0 to +1.02 Crime (mean +0.0626)
-23.75 to +554.55 Foreign Aid (mean +8.9078)
-3877.56 to +6113.05 Average Disposable Income (mean +958.3534)
+0 to +2.09 Patriotism (mean +0.4902)
+0 to +3.28 Food Quality (mean +0.3665)
sometimes removes notability: punitive income tax rates
sometimes removes notability: stringent health and safety legislation
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2025-05-01
2025-06-01
|
| 5/6. any machine that shows any glimmer of intelligence is scrapped for parts |
-2.5 to +6.4 Civil Rights (mean +0.0008)
-5.47 to +1.75 Death Rate (mean -0.1776)
+0 to +326.23 Eco-Friendliness (mean +58.0085)
-6.4 to +2.5 Social Conservatism (mean +0.0108)
-0.75 to +1.75 Nudity (mean -0.0035)
-904.7 to +63.6 Industry: Automobile Manufacturing (mean -122.0668)
+0 to +322.71 Industry: Cheese Exports (mean +48.5638)
+0 to +1571.69 Industry: Basket Weaving (mean +109.9959)
-31434.49 to +0.19 Industry: Information Technology (mean -4378.5848)
-852.54 to +284.44 Industry: Pizza Delivery (mean -70.6679)
+0 to +686.38 Industry: Trout Fishing (mean +56.4311)
-17914.15 to +23.91 Industry: Arms Manufacturing (mean -954.6549)
+0 to +378.7 Sector: Agriculture (mean +47.2089)
+0 to +1008.5 Industry: Beverage Sales (mean +78.4382)
+0 to +526.02 Industry: Timber Woodchipping (mean +88.8438)
+0 to +1664.92 Industry: Mining (mean +213.6379)
+0 to +297.05 Industry: Insurance (mean +35.7893)
+0 to +1146.05 Industry: Furniture Restoration (mean +100.7058)
+0 to +2430.87 Industry: Retail (mean +258.2423)
-328.36 to +693.9 Industry: Book Publishing (mean +6.7428)
-1359.09 to +873.32 Industry: Gambling (mean -4.5944)
-17975.44 to +273.47 Sector: Manufacturing (mean -966.7256)
+0 to +297.29 Welfare (mean +56.0389)
+4.74 to +1139.66 Public Healthcare (mean +129.8492)
+0 to +908.04 Law Enforcement (mean +174.5154)
+0 to +1718 Business Subsidization (mean +198.3687)
+0 to +0.23 Niceness (mean +0.0032)
-10.77 to -0 Intelligence (mean -2.2159)
+0.01 to +16.02 Ignorance (mean +3.2373)
+0 to +0.47 Cheerfulness (mean +0.0066)
+3 to +4 Weather (mean +3.0282)
-0.11 to +0.22 Compliance (mean +0.0049)
+0 to +0.01 Safety (mean +0.0001)
-0.53 to +1.16 Lifespan (mean +0.0806)
-2.13 to +0.72 Ideological Radicality (mean -0.0430)
+0 to +5189.97 Defense Forces (mean +239.5435)
-1.48 to +7.01 Pacifism (mean +0.4689)
+0.02 to +5.29 Taxation (mean +1.2287)
-29.58 to -0.09 Freedom From Taxation (mean -4.2783)
-1418.91 to +301.32 Authoritarianism (mean -15.4582)
-0.1 to +3.84 Employment (mean +0.3363)
+0 to +385.56 Public Transport (mean +53.8293)
-0.01 to +9.4 Tourism (mean +0.3066)
-2.92 to +0.01 Weaponization (mean -0.0577)
-3.14 to +0.66 Recreational Drug Use (mean -1.0418)
-0.22 to -0 Obesity (mean -0.0248)
+0 to +1.77 Environmental Beauty (mean +0.1748)
-0.81 to +0.2 Charmlessness (mean -0.0182)
-0.72 to +2.13 Averageness (mean +0.0430)
-2.18 to +0.15 Human Development Index (mean -0.3546)
+1.86 to +298.5 Primitiveness (mean +55.0789)
-159.74 to -2.66 Scientific Advancement (mean -45.9448)
+0 to +2.15 Inclusiveness (mean +0.0303)
-16491.98 to -106.75 Average Income (mean -2912.5103)
-12097.76 to -29.51 Average Income of Poor (mean -1527.2125)
-38550 to -279 Average Income of Rich (mean -6383.2394)
+0 to +1145.34 Public Education (mean +145.7021)
-0.09 to -0 Crime (mean -0.0031)
+0 to +92.52 Foreign Aid (mean +13.7813)
-11135.48 to -0 Average Disposable Income (mean -2141.4772)
-0.12 to +0.09 Patriotism (mean +0.0001)
+0 to +0.64 Food Quality (mean +0.0852)
removes policy: AI Personhood
sometimes adds notability: punitive income tax rates
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2025-06-12
2025-05-06
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